Monday, June 29, 2015

Monday, June 29, 2015 Newsletter- Free

Hello everyone, as you know it was a total bloodbath today for the market. Here's my comprehensive market newsletter reviewing today's action along with my thoughts going forward.
You can view the newsletter by CLICKING HERE.
enjoy the rest of your evening,
Matthew Frailey


Monday, June 22, 2015

SPX Daily Views

SPX Daily Views


$SPX - Chart Link

$SPX - Chart Link - Into the 2131 pivot range (low end)

Friday, June 12, 2015

Wednesday, June 10, 2015

Wednesday, June 10, 2015 Newsletter- Free

Hello everyone, here's tonight's newsletter, very comprehensive review of things along with educational topics, so take some time to listen and learn!
Also make sure to check us out on Twitter and follow us
Also take advantage of our 20% off sale off in the newsletter.
best to your evening and good trading,
Matthew Frailey

Tuesday, May 26, 2015

Gold Commercial Net Short

 


Last week shows the commercials were net short 132K.  Here's my history chart, now I have not updated this in a couple months, however lately you can see that it's been topping out in in the lower to mid 100K range.

TLT Updates

TLT Updates


TLT - Chart Link


TLT - Chart Link


TLT moved up (gapped) out of it's consolidation pattern. 

Thursday, May 21, 2015

SPX Monthly

SPX Monthly


$SPX - Chart Link


SPX approaching a potential long-term Fibonacci Resistance Level at 2139.

From a Member- Never-ending SPX / Bond battle at 2007 resist rages on.�Aaron ...

Never-ending SPX / Bond battle at 2007 resist rages on.   Aaron ...


Never-ending SPX / Bond battle at 2007 resist rages on.


 



 

 

SPX Views

SPX Views


$SPX - Chart Link


$SPX - Chart Link


$SPX - Chart Link


SPX still holding above initial support (9 day EMA) etc. 

Transports

Transports


$TRAN - Chart Link - bouncing off support for now


$TRAN - Chart Link - remember the 15 min had divergence


$TRAN - Chart Link - 60 min bouncing off the trendline for now, going forward we'll see....

Tuesday, May 19, 2015

GDX and system comments

GDX and system comments


Nice pullback today in the metals, however not surprising, GDX basically reversed at the 200 day MA and the upper channel, and as you know we kept hinting to watch the GDX/GLD ratio and it had started to trend day late last week.


The BPGDM Renko system off to a good start, the trade is up 3.6% in one day, but again as I alluded to earlier, the average signal lasts over 60 days, a lot can happen in that time, so even if you followed that chart don't be afraid to lock in some profits on your own if you see a reason to via the charts

BPGDM comments

BPGDM comments


The trade triggered yesterday, already up 2.4%.  However see the trade stats and history below the chart, notice that the last one was the shortest time at 33 days, the average is 61 days so just put that into perspective, a lot can happen in 30 or 60 days, the trade could be up a lot more or it could be down by the time it closes - if you see a good signal on your normal charts, take some profits

RUT daily

RUT daily


$RUT - Chart Link - found resistance at the broken trendline backtest for now

Monday, May 18, 2015

GDX 1 point Renko System

GDX 1 point Renko System


Interestingly I noticed that using a simple 1.00 box size for GDX on a Renko chart has worked well as a simply system since Oct 2013, no losing trades, 80% cumulative gain, non-compounded.  However before this date it gets a lot more choppy, which makes sense because I hard set the Renko to a box size of 1 point, so as GDX changes price over time that would need to be adjusted.  


I also didn't try to curve fit a Renko size, that's why I simply selected 1.00 vs some odd number.  


also - YOU CANNOT use ATR because the past signals change because ATR changes as it's the average of the last 14 days, thus setting it to a hard box size of 1.00 allows all the past signals to be set


Again I'm showing this because it's interesting and may be something to keep an eye on, however Steve and I get our trade signals via normal Technical analysis - but it's still an interesting chart