Sunday, December 29, 2013

Commodity Newsletter Dec 30th, 2013

Hello everyone, first off I hope that you enjoyed your weekend!  Here's my weekend commodity newsletter, however please note that 1st 1/3 of it is devoted to admin comments relating to the SPY systems, so please make sure to look it over as it may answer some lingering questions that you may have.

CLICK HERE to read the newsletter

enjoy the rest of your evening and see you tomorrow on the trading community blog

Matthew Frailey

Wednesday, December 18, 2013

Wednesday Dec 18th, 2013 Newsletter and SPY Pro system Discussion

Hello everyone, as you know it was a wild day for the market! Tonight I discuss the market and my thoughts along with some trade ideas, HOWEVER I also discuss the SPY Pro and other SPY systems which have another nice winning trade as they went long last week.

enjoy the remainder of your evening,

Matthew Frailey

CLICK HERE to view the Newsletter


Sign up to Breakpoint Trades and you start receiving the signals to our SPY Professional System that has 96% winning trades!! The system takes an average of 1 - 2 trades a month with an average hold time of 14 days, and makes on average about 36% a year.  See the images for the statistics and trade examples from years back

Sunday, December 15, 2013

Breakpoint Trades Market Newsletters

Hello everyone, first off we at Breakpoint Trades hope that you've had a nice weekend! Here's both of our weekend newsletters, one for the general market and one for commodities:  Also a reminder, FOMC Decision on Wednesday

Happy Holidays

Monday, December 9, 2013

General Market Newsletter

Also in addition to our Commodity Newsletter, here's our general market newsletter

CLICK HERE to watch the Newsletter

Sunday, December 8, 2013

My most recent newsletter

Hello everyone, here's the weekend commodity newsletter. However please note that I discuss some important administrative comments in the beginning, therefore please take the time to review.

Stay warm!!

Matthew Frailey


Also now is the chance to pick up a membership at a discount!  I will be raising prices early next year as we have added so many great things and value (our SPY Pro system with 96% winning trades, BPT MA Deluxe trending free indicators, awesome analysis and personal interaction with members etc). So take advantage of a membership now before we raise prices:

Also if you sign up, send us an email to: and I will send you 3 1/2 hr webinar that we recorded which shows you an extremely powerful and simply trading method, you will be amazed!!

here's a coupon for 25% off our 6 month membership

Enter this coupon code when you sign up   158089E15D

Wednesday, November 27, 2013

Happy Thanksgiving Newsletter!

Here's a short market newsletter

CLICK HERE to view the newsletter

My daughter Olivia and Ben Bernanke say hi and happy Thanksgiving everyone!

Matthew Frailey - President of Breakpoint Trades

Tuesday, November 26, 2013

SPX 500 and market

$SPX - Chart Link - The S&P 500 continues to form an obvious bearish rising wedge with negative divergence building - clearly this is a time to be cautious on the long side 

$SPX - Chart Link

Sunday, November 24, 2013

Commodity Newsletter

Hello everyone, here's the commodity weekend report, please take the time to review as I cover some administrative topics

CLICK HERE to view the Newsletter

Have a nice Thanksgiving Week!

Matthew Frailey

Wednesday, November 20, 2013

Our most recent Newsletter

Hello everyone, the market pulled back nicely today, is this the start of something more, we'll see.  I cover quite a bit in this free newsletter so make sure to check it out

CLICK HERE to view the Newsletter

Matthew Frailey

Monday, November 18, 2013

Our Most Recent Newsletter

Here's Tonight's Newsletter - also note I discuss a few admin things such as the SPY Pro system, tutorials, new Newsletter features etc, so please make sure to listen.

enjoy the remainder of your evening

CLICK HERE to view the Newsletter


World Market Review Newsletter

Hello everyone, over the weekend I took at a look at most of the world stock markets to see how they relate to our US Markets which have been on fire making new highs as you know.  

CLICK HERE to view the World Market Newsletter

Matthew Frailey

Sunday, November 10, 2013

Our most recent Newsletter

Hello everyone, here's the commodity weekend newsletter, I also briefly discuss the SPY Pro system as well, which went long last week on Thursday's pullback.

CLICK HERE to view the Newsletter

Matthew Frailey

Wednesday, November 6, 2013

Newsletter and SPY Pro system

Hello everyone, here's my most recent newsletter, I've made quite a few performance improvements to the SPY Pro system, which discuss in the first part of the newsletter.  Please note that this system comes free with membership, whenever the system is going to take a trade, I send out a trade notification email to all subscribers - it's totally mechanical, all you have to do is follow it.

You can view the Newsletter here

Matthew Frailey

Thursday, October 31, 2013

SPY Pro system update

Here's a quick update on the SPY Pro additions, I will do a detailed update when I'm finished, I still have a few things to add, however here's a quick update.  The images below show the original system stats and the new system stats, as well as the old yearly vs new yearly gains - the total has went up quite a bit from 615 -656K.  The number of trades increased some and the percent of time in the market went up from 46.7% to 48.5% which shows the effect of some of the trades that now hold longer. Some of the additional changes that I'm going to make should increase this a little more because it will allow some long trades to hold for longer periods of time; the current work has been on the short side, now I have to work on the long side.

The rules I added were very simple, one of them focuses on the 60 length stochastic and taking low risk trades when it is very close to 50% or 80%, and you know that I use this Stochastic quite a bit in my analysis and trading, none of this was derived through back testing, because I don't need to back test, I just use the concepts that I already use

Sunday, October 27, 2013

Monthly charts and Bollinger Band observations

$INDU - Chart Link - One thing that I've noticed is that the indexes (except for the Dow) have closed well outside of their monthly Bollinger Bands, especially the Nasdaq.

$INDU - Chart Link - this second chart shows a larger version time frame, notice that most of the time, the next month is a down month after closing well outside the monthly BB, not always, but most of the time, 2006 time frame as a notable exception, of course I'm just showing the obvious, things are clearly extended

Uranium Stocks

Some of you have posted how the Uranium stocks have started to move, I cover this in the weekend newsletter, here's some of those charts.  Some of them look interested, however as a side note, generally this is the last 'crap' or sector to rally before the market has a correction - so could be another sign that things are toppy.  Note that I added a lot of symmetry projections, this technique is shown in the tutorial.

URA - Chart Link, ETF

U.TO - Chart Link - price back to long base

DNN - Chart Link - price back to long base support

DNN - Chart Link

CCJ - Chart Link - one of the large caps

CCJ - Chart Link - 60 min view

URRE - Chart Link - back to long term base

URRE - Chart Link

PDN.TO - Chart Link

NRG - Chart Link

NRG - Chart Link

Wednesday, October 23, 2013

Our most recent newsletter

Hello everyone, sorry for the lack of posts lately, I was in China for two week and recently just got back.  Anyway here's our most recent newsletter, also please note that I discuss some recent improvements that I've made to the SPY Professional System.

CLICK HERE to view the newsletter

Tuesday, October 22, 2013

SPY Pro that trades a 5 min ES chart

A fun side note to the BPT Pro system.  I have a professional version that trades ES, it has 99.6% winning trades, with 3592 trades and 629 consecutive winning trades -  however it's really not a system for most of us here because it is designed to trade large numbers of ES contracts - 50 to 600 ES contracts or more, which is a little rich for my blood and probably for most of you - the lowest # I would trade the system with would be probably 30 - 40 ES contracts, though it does better with more because what the systems does is that it takes the daily trade signals, then uses a 5 min chart to scale in an out at extreme levels intra day and overnight, and the more contracts it trades, the better it can do this.

anyway I suppose if there are any hedgefunds here or Pros, you can contact me if you are interested. Otherwise most of us won't be trading this obviously because of the capital needed, but it's kind of neat to look at the trades and it's a slow day so posting it for fun.  Though maybe one day I could set this up on my IB account and some of you accredited investors could link to my account for a fund of some sort, who knows

Tuesday, October 8, 2013

BPT MA Deluxe

good so far!  

Thursday, October 3, 2013

Webinar on BPT MA Deluxe Indicator

Here's the recording for the BPT MA Deluxe Indicator that I did today. We've uploaded it to YouTube so that anyone can watch it - however please note: You must select either HD or 1440 HD because by default Youtube plays at 360i and that is too low a resolution to read anything, also please expand YouTube to your full screen size because that's how the video was recorded.

You Tube Video

Webinar Today and our most recent Newsletter

Hello everyone, I haven't posted on our free blog in a while, however here's a link to our most recent newsletter - also note, today we have a webinar where I discuss our BPT MA Deluxe indicator, which has been pretty awesome at catching market trends

CLICK HERE to view the Newsletter - a link to the webinar is provided in the first segment of the newsletter.

The webinar begins at 5:00 pm EST and will last probably 45 min to an hr.  I also plan to record it for those who can't make it.

Matthew Frailey

Tuesday, September 24, 2013

SPY Pro and Ver 2 systems follow up

FYI - just to confirm, as I stated yesterday afternoon in an email and in last night's newsletter, the SPY Professional and SPY Ver 2 systems both sold their long positions this morning on the open and are now in cash waiting for the next trade. All systems are now in cash - SPY Pro, SPY Ver 2, SPY RSI 2, and DVY RSI 2 systems 

As you know, this was a very nice trade, both systems went long at the Aug 27th bottom.  Congrats to all who took the system trades!

I have now updated the statistics and trades on the website - here's a link to the page which shows the trade history to all the systems (SPY Pro, SPY Ver 2, SPY RSI 2, and DVY RSI 2 systems)

CLICK HERE to see a list of all trades together

Also here's the system reports:

- SPY Professional Non-Scaleout Version

- SPY Professional Scaleout Version

- SPY Professional Compounded Version

- SPY Ver 2 System

- SPY Ver 2 Compounded Version

Sunday, September 22, 2013

Weekend Commodity Newsletter

Here's my most recent commodity newsletter

CLICK HERE to view the newsletter

Matthew Frailey

Video example of futures trading using hidden or reverse divergence

Hello everyone, here's a video I made at the end of the day in which I discuss divergence with a focus on reverse divergence.  In the video I do a playback on Dow YM futures and I take trades as divergence sets up.  

Please note, this video is quite long, about 28 min and I was unable to convert the video to flash, therefore this video will only play in Windows Media Player!  However most of you should have that even if you have a MAC, but you would have to install Windows Media player.  

Again the video might be boring to some of you, but if you trade futures it's worth a look

CLICK HERE to watch the video

Here's another link that opens in windows media player only if the above doesn't work

Wednesday, September 18, 2013

Our most recent Newsletter

Big day in the market today after the FOMC!  In tonight's newsletter I cover the market, our SPY Pro system which has been long during this entire move, and precious metals and gold stocks which could become swing trades.

You can view the Newsletter Here.

Best to your evening,

Matthew Frailey

Here's a good depiction of the FOMC

Sunday, September 15, 2013

Weekend Newsletter and SPY Professional System

Hello Everyone, here's the weekend general market newsletter - please note, this newsletter contains a very detailed discussion of the SPY Professional System - thus make sure to listen to tonight's newsletter

CLICK HERE To view the Newsletter

best to your evening and it should be an eventual week!

Matthew Frailey

Wednesday, September 11, 2013

Our most recent Newsletter

Hello Everyone, the market has had a nice move off the Aug 27th low and our SPY Profession system has been killing it!  

CLICK HERE to view our latest newsletter

Monday, September 9, 2013

SPY Pro Scaleout system hit its second price target

As I discussed previously to keep an eye on, the SPY Pro system just hit its second scaleout profit target and exited another 20% of its shares - the system now has 60% of its remaining shares left.  I've updated the trade on the website, you can find it in this section (click here), as well as the updated statistics - the system now has 96.06% winning trades, 685 winning trades, only 26 losing trades over nearly 19 years.

Should this trade continue to be held, here's something to be on the look out for

CLICK HERE to watch the video,

The SPY Ver 2 is long (it does not scale out)

The DVY RSI 2 system is long and will exit its long position today at the close

Market intra day comments

$SPX - Chart Link - market up as you know, however as you can see from the 15 and 60 min charts, price is still staying inside the channel with the upper trendline acting as resistance

$SPX - Chart Link

Thursday, August 29, 2013

SPY Pro System achieved its first scale out

As I stated previously, the SPY Pro Scaleout version would scale out of 20% of its shares at a 1% gain at a price of SPY $164.96, that just occurred as you can see from the chart.  Again if you are following the scale out version  please don't wait for me to post the confirmations, as I stated, the best thing to do is to simply place a GTC sell limit order in at your broker when you first enter the trade, that way it will just execute automatically for you.

I'm also including the stats: 96.05% winning trades, 684 total trades, 93 consecutive winning trades, 2 consecutive losing trades and a beautiful profit curve.

In regards to the rest of the system trade, if SPY closes over the 8 day moving average, the system will exit it's total position and go to cash, that's actually not to far away and something you can monitor on your own, just add an 8 day MA to a daily chart of SPY.